Employment, production and manufacturing wages in Mexico in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. A spatial VAR análisis

Authors

  • Roldán Andrés-Rosales Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México
  • Leobardo de Jesús-Almonte Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México
  • Yolanda Carbajal-Suárez Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.46443/catyp.v17i2.285

Keywords:

the inter/intra-regional impacts, manufacturing employment, manufacturing production, manufacturing wages, Spatial Vector Autoregressive, COVID-19

Abstract

The aim of this paper is to analyze the inter and intra-regional impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on the employment level, production and wages in the manufacturing sector in Mexico. The methodology used is the Spatial Vector Autoregressive Models (SpVAR), which provides a spatial context that allows to examine if the lag on the external variables adds valuable information about the local variables. Also, the impulse response functions are used to quantify the influence of a given state on its neighbors (Push-out effect) and the impacts of neighbors on a given state (Push-in effect). This work shows evidence that the employed population in a state can be affected by small shocks in the growth of employment, production, wages and COVID-19 infections in neighboring states. The effect can be positive or negative depending on the sign of the coefficient. One of the conclusions is that the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic had a larger impact in regions where the manufacturing labor is more predominant with respect to the rest of the economic activity.

Author Biographies

Roldán Andrés-Rosales, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México

Doctor en Economía. Profesor-investigador de la Facultad de Estudios Superiores Cuautitlán, Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, adscrito al Departamento de Ciencias Sociales. Especialista en desarrollo y crecimiento regional, economía social y solidaria

Leobardo de Jesús-Almonte, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México

Doctor en Economía. Profesor investigador adscritos al Centro de investigación en Ciencias Económicas, Facultad de Economía de la Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México. Empleo y crecimiento económico y economía regional y sectorial

Yolanda Carbajal-Suárez, Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México

Doctora en Economía. Profesora investigadora adscrita al Centro de investigación en Ciencias Económicas, Facultad de Economía de la Universidad Autónoma del Estado de México. Economía sectorial y regional, sector automotriz y manufactura.

Published

2022-02-24

How to Cite

Andrés-Rosales, R., de Jesús-Almonte, L., & Carbajal-Suárez, Y. (2022). Employment, production and manufacturing wages in Mexico in the face of the COVID-19 pandemic. A spatial VAR análisis. Ciencias Administrativas. Teoría Y Praxis, 17(2), 32–49. https://doi.org/10.46443/catyp.v17i2.285

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